Contents
- THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION, Having regard to the Treaty on th…
- 1 Subject matter and scope
- 2 Definitions
- 3 Audit population
- 4 Multi-period sampling and stratification
- 5 Selection of a random statistical sample
- 6 Selection of a random non-statistical sample
- 7 Subsampling
- 8 Calculation of the total error rate
- 9 Entry into force
- I Sampling parameters
- II Formulas for sample size calculation and extrapolation of errors
- III Adjustments related to single audit arrangements
THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION,Having regard to the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union,Having regard to Regulation (EU) 2021/1060 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 24 June 2021 laying down common provisions on the European Regional Development Fund, the European Social Fund Plus, the Cohesion Fund, the Just Transition Fund and the European Maritime, Fisheries and Aquaculture Fund and financial rules for those and for the Asylum, Migration and Integration Fund, the Internal Security Fund and the Instrument for Financial Support for Border Management and Visa Policynote, and in particular Article 79(4) thereof,Whereas:
HAS ADOPTED THIS REGULATION:
Article 1Subject matter and scope#
Article 2Definitions#
Article 3Audit population#
Article 4Multi-period sampling and stratification#
Article 5Selection of a random statistical sample#
Article 6Selection of a random non-statistical sample#
Article 7Subsampling#
Article 8Calculation of the total error rate#
Article 9Entry into force#
Annex I · Sampling parameters
1. Materiality threshold
2. Confidence level
3. Parameter z
| Confidence level | 90 % | 80 % | 70 % | 60 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| z value (bilateral) | 1,645 | 1,282 | 1,036 | 0,842 |
| z' value (unilateral) | 1,282 | 0,842 | 0,524 | 0,253 |
4. Anticipated standard deviation of errors or error rates and anticipated error
Annex II · Formulas for sample size calculation and extrapolation of errors
1. Mus standard approach
1.1. MUS standard approach – one period
| NON-STRATIFIED | STRATIFIED |
|---|---|
| Sample size calculation | |
| nzBVσrTEAE2 | nzBVσrwTEAE2nhBVhBVnwhereσrw2 - weighted mean of the variances of the error rates for the whole set of strata, with the weight for each stratum equal to the ratio between the stratum book value (BVh) and the book value for the whole population (BV)σrw2Hi1BVhBVσrh2,h1,2,…,H;and σrh2 is the variance of error rates in each stratum |
| whereBVpopulation book value (total declared expenditure)zcoefficient z from a normal distributionTEtolerable error (maximum 2 % of the total expenditure)AEanticipated errorσrthe standard deviation of the error rates | |
| Extrapolation of errors | |
| Projected/extrapolated error (MUS standard approach/PPS):For the exhaustive stratum, the projected error is the sum of the errors found in the units belonging to the stratum:EEenei1EiFor the non-exhaustive stratum, i.e. the stratum containing the sampling units with book value smaller than the interval, BViBVn the projected error isEEsSInsi1EiBViThe projected error at the level of population is the sum of the two components above:EEEEeEEs | Projected/extrapolated error (MUS standard approach/PPS):For the exhaustive groups, the projected error is the sum of the errors found in the units belonging to those groups:EEeHh1nhi1EhiFor the non-exhaustive groups, i.e. the groups containing the sampling units with book value smaller than the interval, BVhiBVhnh, the projected error isEEsHh1BVhsnhsnhsi1EhiBVhiThe projected error at the level of population is just the sum of these two components above:EEEEeEEs |
| Sampling precision:SEzBVsnssrwhere sr is the standard-deviation of error rates in the sample of the non-exhaustive stratum (calculated from the same sample used to extrapolate the errors to the population) | Sampling precision:SEzHh1BVhs2nhs.srhs2where srhs is the standard-deviation of error rates in the sample of the non-exhaustive group of stratum h (calculated from the same sample used to extrapolate the errors to the population) |
1.2. MUS standard approach – two periods
| NON-STRATIFIED | STRATIFIED |
|---|---|
| Sample size calculation | |
| First periodn12zBV12σrw122TEAE2whereσrw122BV1BV12σr12BV2BV12σr22BV12BV1BV2ntBVtBV12n12 | First periodn12zBV12σrw122TEAE2whereσrw122σrw12σrw22σrwt2Hti1BVhtBVσrht2,h1,2,…,Ht;BV12BV1BV2nhtBVhtBVn |
| Second periodn2zBV2σr22TEAE2z2BV12n1sr12 | Second periodn2z2BV2H2h1BVh2.σrh22TEAE2z2H1h1BVh12nh1.srh12wherenh2BVh2BV2n2 |
| Notes:Whenever different approximations for the standard-deviations of each period cannot be obtained/are not applicable, the same value of standard deviation may be applied to all periods. In such a case σrw12 is just equal to the single standard-deviation of error rates σr.The parameter σ refers to the standard-deviation obtained from auxiliary data (e.g. historical data) and s refers to the standard-deviation obtained from the audited sample. In the formulas, whenever s is not available, it may be substituted by σ.Formulas under the heading “First period” are used to calculate the sample size after the first sampling period of the accounting year in the case of a standard recalculation of the sample size referred to in Article 5(6), point (a). In the case of the global recalculation of the sample size referred to in Article 5(6), point (b), these formulas are used after the first sampling period and if needed also after the second sampling period in order to adjust to updated sampling parameters.Formulas under the heading “Second period” are applicable only in the case of a standard recalculation of the sample size referred to in Article 5(6), point (a). They are used to recalculate the sample size of the second period in order to adjust to updated sampling parameters. If the formula results in a negative number, the formula and consequently the standard approach to recalculation of the sample size cannot be applied based on the established set of the updated parameters. | |
| Extrapolation of errors | |
| Projected/extrapolated error (MUS standard approach/PPS):For the exhaustive strata, the projected error is the sum of the errors found in the units belonging to the strata:EEen1i1E1in2i1E2iFor the non-exhaustive strata, i.e. the strata containing the sampling units with book value smaller than the interval, BViBVn the projected error isEEsBV1sn1sn1si1E1iBV1iBV2sn2sn2si1E2iBV2iThe projected error at the level of population is the sum of the two components above:EEEEeEEs | Projected/extrapolated error (MUS standard approach/PPS):For the exhaustive strata, the projected error is the sum of the errors found in the units belonging to the strata:EEeH1h1nh1i1Eh1iH2h1nh2i1Eh2iFor the non-exhaustive strata, i.e. the strata containing the sampling units with book value smaller than the interval, BViBVn the projected error isEEsH1h1BVh1snh1s.nh1si1Eh1iBVh1iH2h1BVh2snh2s.nh2si1Eh2iBVh2iThe projected error at the level of population is the sum of the two components above:EEEEeEEs |
| Sampling precision:SEzBV1s2n1ssr1s2BV2s2n2ssr2s2where srt is the standard-deviation of error rates in the sample of the non-exhaustive strata of period t (calculated from the same sample used to extrapolate the errors to the population) | Sampling precision:SEzH1h1BVh1s2nh1s.srh1s2H2h1BVh2s2nh2s.srh2s2where srhts is the standard-deviation of error rates in the sample of the non-exhaustive group of stratum h in period t (calculated from the same sample used to extrapolate the errors to the population) |
1.3. MUS standard approach – three periodsMUS standard approach may be applied with more than three sampling periods by relevant adjustments of the formulas.
| NON-STRATIFIED | STRATIFIED |
|---|---|
| Sample size calculation | |
| First periodn123zBV123σrw1232TEAE2whereσrw1232BV1BV123σr12BV2BV123σr22BV3BV123σr32BV123BV1BV2BV3ntBVtBV123n123 | First periodn123zBV123σrw1232TEAE2whereσrw1232σrw12σrw22σrw32σrwt2Hti1BVhtBVσrht2,h1,2,…,Ht;BV123BV1BV2BV3nhtBVhtBVn |
| Second periodn23zBV23σrw232TEAE2z2BV12n1sr12whereσrw232BV2BV23σr22BV3BV23σr32BV23BV2BV3ntBVtBV23n23 | Second periodn23z2BV23H2h1BVh2.σrh22H3h1BVh3.σrh32TEAE2z2H1h1BVh12nh1.srh12whereBV23BV2BV3nhtBVhtBV23n23 |
| Third periodn3zBV3σr32TEAE2z2BV12n1sr12z2BV22n2sr22 | Third periodn3z2BV3H3h1BVh3.σrh32TEAE2z2H1h1BVh12nh1.srh12z2H2h1BVh22nh2.srh22nh3BVh3BV3n3 |
| Notes:Whenever different approximations for the standard-deviations of each period cannot be obtained/are not applicable, the same value of standard deviation may be applied to all periods. In such a case σrw123 is just equal to the single standard-deviation of error rates σr.The parameter σ refers to the standard-deviation obtained from auxiliary data (e.g. historical data) and s refers to the standard-deviation obtained from the audited sample. In the formulas, whenever s is not available, it may be substituted by σ.See also notes above for the two-period MUS standard approach as regards the use of the standard approach to the recalculation of the sample size and the global approach referred to in Article 5(6). | |
| Extrapolation of errors | |
| Projected/extrapolated error (MUS standard approach/PPS):For the exhaustive strata, the projected error is the sum of the errors found in the units belonging to the strata:EEen1i1E1in2i1E2in3i1E3iFor the non-exhaustive strata, i.e. the strata containing the sampling units with book value smaller than the interval, BViBVn the projected error isEEsBV1sn1sn1si1E1iBV1iBV2sn2sn2si1E2iBV2iBV3sn3sn3si1E3iBV3iThe projected error at the level of population is the sum of the two components above:EEEEeEEs | Projected/extrapolated error (MUS standard approach/PPS):For the exhaustive strata, the projected error is the sum of the errors found in the units belonging to the strata:EEeH1h1nh1i1Eh1iH2h1nh2i1Eh2iH3h1nh3i1Eh3iFor the non-exhaustive strata, i.e. the strata containing the sampling units with book value smaller than the interval, BViBVn the projected error isEEsH1h1BVh1snh1s.nh1si1Eh1iBVh1iH2h1BVh2snh2s.nh2si1Eh2iBVh2iH3h1BVh3snh3s.nh1si1Eh3iBVh3iThe projected error at the level of population is the sum of the two components above:EEEEeEEs |
| Sampling precision:SEzBV1s2n1ssr1s2BV2s2n2ssr2s2BV3s2n3ssr3s2where srts is the standard-deviation of error rates in the sample of the non-exhaustive strata of period t (calculated from the same sample used to extrapolate the errors to the population) | Sampling precision:SEzH1h1BVh1s2nh1s.srh1s2H2h1BVh2s2nh2s.srh2s2H3h1BVh3s2nh3s.srh3s2where srhts is the standard-deviation of error rates in the sample of the non-exhaustive group of stratum h in period t (calculated from the same sample used to extrapolate the errors to the population) |
2. Simple random sampling
2.1. Simple random sampling – one period
| NON-STRATIFIED | STRATIFIED |
|---|---|
| Sample size calculation | |
| nNzσeTEAE2where σe is the standard-deviation of errors in the population | nNzσwTEAE2nhNhNn.whereσw2 - the weighted mean of the variances of the errors for the whole set of strata:σw2Hi1NhNσeh2,h1,2,…,H;and σeh2 is the variance of errors in each stratum |
| whereNpopulation sizezcoefficient z from a normal distributionTEtolerable error (maximum 2 % of the total expenditure)AEanticipated errorσethe standard deviation of the errors | |
| Extrapolation of errors | |
| In the framework of application of the off-the-shelf methodologies laid down in this Delegated Regulation, a single extrapolation method, ratio estimation, applies for SRS referred to in Article 5(1), point (b), and equal probability selection referred to in Article 6(1), point (b), for the purpose of simplification and legal certainty. This does not limit the application of other extrapolation methods by the audit authorities under Article 79 of Regulation (EU) 2021/1060. | |
| Projected/extrapolated error (SRS/equal probability selection):If an exhaustive stratum is used, the projected error in this group is the sum of the errors found in the units belonging to the stratum:EEenei1EiFor the random stratum the projected error isEEsBVni1Eini1BViThe projected error at the level of population is the sum of the two components above:EEEEeEEs | Projected/extrapolated error (SRS/equal probability selection):If an exhaustive stratum is used, the projected error in this group is the sum of the errors found in the units belonging to those groups:EEeHh1nhi1EhiFor the random strata the projected error isEEsHh1BVhnhi1Einhi1BViThe projected error at the level of population is just the sum of these two components above:EEEEeEEs |
| Sampling precision:SENzsqnwhere sq is the sample standard deviation of the variable q:qiEini1Eini1BViBVi.Precision is exclusively calculated with data pertaining to the non-exhaustive strata. | Sampling precision:SENzsqwnwheresqw2Hh1NhNsqh2is a weighted mean of the sample variances of the variable qh, withqihEihnhi1Eihnhi1BVihBVih.Precision is exclusively calculated with data pertaining to the non-exhaustive strata. |
2.2. Simple random sampling – two periods
| NON-STRATIFIED | STRATIFIED |
|---|---|
| Sample size calculation | |
| First periodn12zN12σew122TEAE2whereσew122N1N12σe12N2N12σe22N12N1N2ntNtN12n12 | First periodn12zN12σew122TEAE2whereσew122H1i1Nh1Nσh12H2i1Nh2Nσh22,N12N1N2nhtNhtN12n12 |
| Second periodn2zN2σe22TEAE2z2N12n1se12 | Second periodn2z2N2H2h1Nh2.σeh22TEAE2z2H1h1Nh12nh1.seh12 |
| Notes:Whenever different approximations for the standard-deviations of each period cannot be obtained/are not applicable, the same value of standard deviation may be applied to all periods. In such a case σew12 is just equal to the single standard-deviation of errors σe.The parameter σ refers to the standard-deviation obtained from auxiliary data (e.g. historical data) and s refers to the standard-deviation obtained from the audited sample. In the formulas, whenever s is not available, it may be substituted by σ.Formulas under the heading “First period” are used to calculate the sample size after the first sampling period of the accounting year in the case of a standard recalculation of the sample size referred to in Article 5(6), point (a). In the case of the global recalculation of the sample size referred to in Article 5(6), point (b), these formulas are used after the first sampling period and if needed also after the second sampling period in order to adjust to updated sampling parameters.Formulas under the heading “Second period” are applicable only in the case of a standard recalculation of the sample size referred to in Article 5(6), point (a). They are used to recalculate the sample size of the second period in order to adjust to updated sampling parameters. If the formula results in a negative number, the formula and consequently the standard approach to re-calculation of the sample size cannot be applied based on the established set of the updated parameters. | |
| Extrapolation of errors | |
| In the framework of application of the off-the-shelf methodologies laid down in this Delegated Regulation, a single extrapolation method, ratio estimation, applies for SRS referred to in Article 5(1), point (b) and equal probability selection referred to in Article 6(1), point (b), for the purpose of simplification and legal certainty. This does not limit the application of other extrapolation methods by the audit authorities under Article 79 of Regulation (EU) 2021/1060. | |
| Projected/extrapolated error (SRS/equal probability selection):If an exhaustive stratum is used, the projected error in this group is the sum of the errors found in the units belonging to the strata:EEen1i1E1in2i1E2iFor the non-exhaustive strata, the projected error is:EEsBV1n1i1E1in1i1BV1iBV2n2i1E2in2i1BV2iThe projected error at the level of population is the sum of the two components above. | Projected/extrapolated error (SRS/equal probability selection):If an exhaustive stratum is used, the projected error is the sum of the errors found in the units belonging to the strata:EEeH1h1nh1i1Eh1iH2h1nh2i1Eh2iFor the non-exhaustive strata, the projected error is:EEsH1h1BVh1nh1i1Einh1i1BViH2h1BVh2nh2i1Einh2i1BVi1The projected error at the level of population is the sum of the two components above. |
| Sampling precision:SEzN12sq12n1N22sq22n2qtiEtinti1Etinti1BVtiBVtiPrecision is exclusively calculated with data pertaining to the non-exhaustive strata. | Sampling precision:SEzH1h1Nh12nh1.sqh12H2h1Nh22nh2.sqh22qihtEihtnhti1Eihnhti1BVihBViht.Precision is exclusively calculated with data pertaining to the non-exhaustive strata. |
2.3. Simple random sampling – three periodsSimple Random Sampling may be applied with more than three sampling periods by relevant adjustments of the formulas.
| NON-STRATIFIED | STRATIFIED |
|---|---|
| Sample size calculation | |
| First periodn123zN123σew1232TEAE2whereσew1232N1N123σe12N2N123σe22N3N123σe32N123N1N2N3ntNtN123n123 | First periodn123zN123σew1232TEAE2whereσew1232H1i1Nh1Nσh12H2i1Nh2Nσh22H3i1Nh3Nσh32N123N1N2N3nhtNhtN123n123 |
| Second periodn23zN23σew232TEAE2z2N12n1se12whereσew232N2N23σe22N3N23σe32N23N2N3ntNtN23n23 | Second periodn23z2N23σew23TEAE2z2H1h1Nh12nh1.seh12σew232H2h1Nh2.σeh22H3h1Nh3.σeh32 |
| Third periodn3zN3σe32TEAE2z2N12n1se12z2N22n2se22 | Third periodn3z2N3σew3TEAE2z2H1h1Nh12nh1.seh12z2H2h1Nh22nh2.seh22σew3H3h1Nh3.σeh32 |
| Notes:Whenever different approximations for the standard-deviations of each period cannot be obtained/are not applicable, the same value of standard deviation may be applied to all periods. In such a case σew123 is just equal to the single standard-deviation of errors σe.The parameter σ refers to the standard-deviation obtained from auxiliary data (e.g. historical data) and s refers to the standard-deviation obtained from the audited sample. In the formulas, whenever s is not available, it may be substituted by σ.See also notes above for the two-period simple random sampling as regards the use of the standard approach to the recalculation of the sample size and the global approach referred to in Article 5(6). | |
| Extrapolation of errors | |
| In the framework of application of the off-the-shelf methodologies laid down in this Regulation, a single extrapolation method, ratio estimation, applies for SRS referred to in Article 5(1), point (b), and equal probability selection referred to in Article 6(1), point (b), for the purpose of simplification and legal certainty. This does not limit the application of other extrapolation methods by the audit authorities under Article 79 of Regulation (EU) 2021/1060. | |
| Projected/extrapolated error (SRS/equal probability selection):For the exhaustive strata, the projected error is the sum of the errors found in the units belonging to the strata:EEen1i1E1in2i1E2in3i1E3iFor the non-exhaustive strata, the projected error is:EEsBV1n1i1E1in1i1BV1iBV2n2i1E2in2i1BV2iBV3n3i1E3in3i1BV3iThe projected error at the level of population is the sum of the two components above. | Projected/extrapolated error (SRS/equal probability selection):For the exhaustive strata, the projected error is the sum of the errors found in the units belonging to the strata:EEeH1h1nh1i1Eh1iH2h1nh2i1Eh2iH2h1nh3i1Eh3iFor the non-exhaustive strata, the projected error is:EEsH1h1BVh1nh1i1Einh1i1BViH2h1BVh2nh2i1Einh2i1BViH3h1Nh3nh3i1Einh3The projected error at the level of population is the sum of the two components above. |
| Sampling precision:SEzN12sq12n1N22sq22n2N32sq32n3qtiEtinti1Etinti1BVtiBVtiPrecision is exclusively calculated with data pertaining to the non-exhaustive strata. | Sampling precision:SEzH1h1Nh12nh1.sqh12H2h1Nh22nh2.sqh22H3h1Nh32nh3.sqh32qihtEihtnhti1Eihnhti1BVihBViht.Precision is exclusively calculated with data pertaining to the non-exhaustive strata. |
III · Adjustments related to single audit arrangements
| Sampling design | MUS standard/PPS:Exclusion of sampling units | MUS standard/PPS:Replacement of sampling units |
|---|---|---|
| Population used for sample selection | Reduced (adjusted) population (i.e. population excluding operations/other sampling units affected by Article 80 of Regulation (EU) 2021/1060) | Original populationnote |
| Parameters used for sample size calculation | Correspond to the original population | |
| Recommended approach to projection/extrapolation of errors and precision calculation | Projection of error and precision calculation is carried out in the first stage for the reduced population.In the next stage it is adjusted to reflect the original population. Such adjustment may be performed by multiplying the projected error and precision by the ratio between expenditure BV (h) original of the original population and the expenditure BV (h) reduced of the reduced population.In the case of units of high-value stratum affected by Article 80 of Regulation (EU) 2021/1060 (or any other exhaustive stratum), there could be a need to calculate the error for the high-value stratum and to project this error to the units which were not audited in this stratum using the formula EEeEEe reducedBVe originalBVe reduced (where EEe reduced represents the amount of error in the sampling units of the high-value stratum audited, BVe original refers to book value of the original high-value stratum and BVe reduced refers to the book value of units in the high-value stratum which were subject to audit.) | Projection of error and precision calculation is carried out for the original population.The units of high-value stratum (or units of any other exhaustive stratum), which are excluded from the audit procedures due to provisions of Article 80 of Regulation (EU) 2021/1060 should be replaced by the sampling units of the low-value stratum. In such a case there could be a need to calculate the error for the high-value stratum and to project this error to the units which were not audited in this stratum using the formula EEeEEe reducedBVe originalBVe reduced (where EEe reduced represents the amount of error in the sampling units of the high-value stratum audited, BVe original refers to book value of the original high-value stratum and BVe reduced refers to the book value of units in the high-value stratum which were subject to audit). |
| Sampling design | Simple Random Sampling/equal probability selection:Exclusion of sampling units | Simple Random Sampling/equal probability selection:Replacement of sampling units |
|---|---|---|
| Population used for sample selection | Reduced (adjusted) population (i.e. population excluding operations/other sampling units affected by Article 80 of Regulation (EU) 2021/1060) | Original populationnote |
| Parameters used for sample size calculation | Correspond to the original population | |
| Recommended approach to projection/extrapolation of errors and precision calculation | Projection of error and precision calculation is carried out for the reduced population.In the next stage it is adjusted to reflect the original population based on the following approaches:The adjustment may be performed by multiplying the projected error and precision by the ratio between expenditure BV (h) original of the original population and the expenditure BV (h) reduced of the reduced population.Projection of error may also be performed directly for the original population.Precision should not be calculated directly for the original population. The precision calculated for reduced population should be adjusted for the original population by multiplying the precision of the reduced population by the ratio BV h original populationBV h reduced population.In the case of units of high-value stratum (or any other exhaustive stratum) subject to Article 80 of Regulation (EU) 2021/1060, there could be a need to calculate an error for the high-value stratum and to project this error to the units which were not audited in this stratum. It would be performed using the formula EEeEEe reducedBVe originalBVe reduced, where EEe reducedrepresents the amount of error in the sampling units of the high-value stratum audited, BVe original refers to book value of the original high-value stratum and BVe reduced refers to the book value of units in the high-value stratum which were subject to audit. | Projection of error is carried out for the original population.Precision has to be calculated for the reduced population (population from which all sampling units subject to Article 80 of Regulation (EU) 2021/1060 were deducted). Subsequently, it should be in the next stage adjusted to reflect the original population. It may be performed by multiplying the precision of the reduced population by the ratio between expenditure BV (h) original of the original population and the expenditure BV (h) reduced of the reduced population. It should be also noted that even if the audit authority did not select any sampling units affected by Article 80 of Regulation (EU) 2021/1060 in its sample, the precision will also have to be calculated to the reduced population and subsequently adjusted using the above mentioned formula.In the case of units of high-value stratum (or any other exhaustive stratum) subject to Article 80 of Regulation (EU) 2021/1060, there could be a need to calculate an error for the high-value stratum and to project this error to the units which were not audited in this stratum. It would be performed using the formula EEeEEe reducedBVe originalBVe reduced, where EEe reduced represents the amount of error in the sampling units of the high-value stratum audited, BVe original refers to book value of the original high-value stratum and BVe reduced refers to the book value of units in the high-value stratum which were subject to audit. |
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